{"id":682,"date":"2026-06-22T11:39:44","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T11:39:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/movingandmortgagehub.com\/?p=682"},"modified":"2026-06-22T11:39:44","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T11:39:44","slug":"super-el-nino-is-terrible-news-for-farmers-around-the-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/movingandmortgagehub.com\/?p=682","title":{"rendered":"\u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d Is Terrible News for Farmers Around the World"},"content":{"rendered":"
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This story was originally published b<\/em>y\u00a0Grist\u00a0and\u00a0is reproduced here as part of the\u00a0<\/em>Climate Desk\u00a0collaboration.<\/em><\/p>

Read more \u201cWillful Neglect\u201d: A New Report on the State of Fatherhood Pulls No Punches<\/a><\/p>\n

The oceanic phenomenon<\/span> known as El Ni\u00f1o, which increases temperatures worldwide, has officially begun,\u00a0according to\u00a0US weather forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Meteorologists have warned that this could be the strongest El Ni\u00f1o\u00a0this century. It is expected to drive extreme weather events around the world,\u00a0including both severe droughts and heavy rainfall, likely leading to major disruptions in agricultural production and food security.\u00a0<\/p>\n

El Ni\u00f1o is part of a cyclical, naturally occurring weather pattern that redistributes warm air, surface water temperatures, and moisture across the tropical Pacific Ocean. During El Ni\u00f1o, trade winds that typically blow east-to-west from the Americas to southeast Asia slow down or sometimes reverse. Normally, these winds push warm water along the equator\u2014but during El Ni\u00f1o conditions, that warm water shifts back east. Although El Ni\u00f1o does not follow a specific timeline, it typically occurs every two to seven years.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Beginning in the summer, El Ni\u00f1o typically peaks around December or the following January. (The pattern was named El Ni\u00f1o\u2014Spanish for little boy\u2014by\u00a0fishermen in South America\u00a0who noticed warmer waters around Christmas time, and associated it with the birth of Jesus Christ.) That means the most significant impacts of the cyclical weather phenomenon may not be felt until months from now. <\/p>\n

NOAA\u2019s most recent calculations show a high likelihood of a \u201cvery strong\u201d El Ni\u00f1o, meaning average surface temperatures in the Pacific jump by more than 2 degrees C. (Some experts are calling this year\u2019s a \u201csuper\u201d El Ni\u00f1o, although some agencies, like the World Meteorological Organization,\u00a0reject this language.)\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Because it impacts a \u201cdiverse set of geographies,\u201d said Weston Anderson, a climate scientist at the University of Maryland, \u201cthere is no one set of impacts.\u201d El Ni\u00f1o can contribute to severe droughts in one part of the world and heavy rainfall in others\u2014both of which can disrupt growing seasons in key breadbaskets of the world.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But the ways in which this year\u2019s El Ni\u00f1o will interact with the effects of global warming\u2014and what that means for food security\u2014is something scientists are still actively observing and untangling.\u00a0\u201cThat question is still really important open science,\u201d said Jennifer Burney, a professor at Stanford\u2019s Doerr School of Sustainability whose work focuses on climate and food security.\u00a0<\/p>\n

History can give us some examples. In 1877, one of the strongest El Ni\u00f1os ever recorded was associated with historic droughts across Asia, as well as in parts of Brazil and northern Africa. These droughts, \u201calong with colonial policies, contributed to famines in many regions which were really devastating,\u201d said Deepti Singh, an associate professor at Washington State University who co-authored\u00a0a study\u00a0on this period of global famine.\u00a0<\/p>

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The fatalities associated with these famines, upward of 50 million people, said Singh, \u201care humbling to think about.\u201d<\/p>\n

The last El Ni\u00f1o occurred in 2023 and 2024. It was one of the five strongest El Ni\u00f1os ever recorded, according to the World Meteorological Organization, and is considered to have contributed to the historic temperatures in 2024, making it the hottest year on record.\u00a0<\/p>\n

That year came with devastating consequences for growers, especially in arid regions where agricultural producers primarily rely on rainfall to irrigate their crops.\u00a0Droughts driven by El Ni\u00f1o across southern Africa\u00a0contributed to increased\u00a0food insecurity and malnutrition in several countries.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Burney noted that in some vulnerable regions, local governments may have adaptive strategies in place to grow key crops earlier in the growing season or to increase imports during El Ni\u00f1o years, which can help offset food insecurity. But even in those cases, local farmers who depend on growing and selling crops to support themselves and their families may still experience economic setbacks. In other words, certain policies may ensure there\u2019s \u201cenough food,\u201d but \u201cthat\u2019s not going to take care of the people whose livelihoods depend on\u201d agriculture, Burney said.\u00a0<\/p>\n

This year, El Ni\u00f1o conditions are expected to impact a number of growing areas\u2014another setback for agricultural producers who have faced higher input costs stemming from the Iran war. Although the United States and Iran are potentially set to unveil an agreement to reopen the all-important Strait of Hormuz, through which much of the world\u2019s oil flows, farmers worldwide have already been impacted by fertilizer shortages and price hikes since the passage closed this spring.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Weather variability fueled by El Ni\u00f1o will add to growers\u2019 woes. India, where the majority of the world\u2019s rice comes from, is projected to have a weaker monsoon season, which could reduce yields. Drier, hotter conditions could lead to diminished maize production in southern Africa. The southern US states, from California all the way to the eastern seaboard, will experience a wetter year than normal, which could lead to flooding and upend crop production.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But the exact way that this El Ni\u00f1o will unfurl is yet unknown. As El Ni\u00f1o interacts with the additional warming and moisture currently in our atmosphere caused by climate change, \u201cthere is likely to be a change in which regions are likely to be affected\u201d by extreme weather, said Singh. Still, she added, we can expect \u201cthe severity, extent, and likelihood\u201d of extreme weather events like droughts \u201cto be higher\u201d in today\u2019s warmer climate.<\/p>

Read more Our Hidden Fungal Networks Could Reach Beyond the Solar System<\/a><\/p>\n<\/article>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The effects on any one area are unpredictable, but expect extreme drought and excessive rainfall.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":680,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environment"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d Is Terrible News for Farmers Around the World - Moving and Mortgage Hub<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/movingandmortgagehub.com\/?p=682\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d Is Terrible News for Farmers Around the World - Moving and Mortgage Hub\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The effects on any one area are unpredictable, but expect extreme drought and excessive rainfall.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/movingandmortgagehub.com\/?p=682\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Moving and Mortgage Hub\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-22T11:39:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/movingandmortgagehub.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/1bb165f741b2638b3e820c11a95b46a9.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1124\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/?p=682#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/?p=682\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6b7c79bcfd888d98f34c5413df7e81a2\"},\"headline\":\"\u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d Is Terrible News for Farmers Around the World\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-22T11:39:44+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/?p=682\"},\"wordCount\":963,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/?p=682#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/6159e929e5fffea1745eba9884471e82.webp\",\"articleSection\":[\"Environment\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/?p=682#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/?p=682\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/movingandmortgagehub.com\\\/?p=682\",\"name\":\"\u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d Is Terrible News for Farmers Around the World - 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