{"id":204,"date":"2026-05-22T12:15:50","date_gmt":"2026-05-22T12:15:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/movingandmortgagehub.com\/?p=204"},"modified":"2026-05-22T12:15:50","modified_gmt":"2026-05-22T12:15:50","slug":"trump-has-finally-found-a-small-enough-enemy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/movingandmortgagehub.com\/?p=204","title":{"rendered":"Trump Has Finally Found a Small Enough Enemy"},"content":{"rendered":"
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On Wednesday,<\/span> the<\/span> Justice Department unsealed an indictment charging 94-year-oldformer Cuban head of state Ra\u00fal Castro with murder and conspiracy to kill US citizens. It\u2019sa move that may signal potential military action to abduct Castro from the country, as with Donald Trump\u2019s January raid on the compound of Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro.\u00a0<\/p>

Read more Solar Electricity Is Poised to Overtake Coal in\u2014of All Places\u2014Texas<\/a><\/p>\n

The indictment targets Ra\u00fal Castro, the brother of the lateFidel, and five other members of the Cuban military, for the 1991 downing by Cuban forces of two aircraft operated by anticommunist Cuban exiles. While the indictment was filed last month, the unsealing coincides with Cuban Independence Day, celebrating 124 years since the US ended its military occupation of the country.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But Cuban Independence Day comes this year amid a debilitating oil blockade imposed by Trump, which has devastated Cuba\u2019s already struggling health system and economic infrastructure and worsened living conditions across the board. This year alone, residents have dealt with nationwide blackouts, food shortages, hospitals without power to operate, and constant worry over their economic and political future. The Trump blockade and associated policies, which many humanitarian groups view as human rights violations, have deprived the country\u2019s residents of basic necessities and exacerbated the impact of the decades-long US embargo on its neighbor.<\/p>\n

Cuba produces enough oil to meet about 40 percent of its needs domestically. It imports the remainder, mostly from Venezuela and Mexico. But following the US attack on Venezuela and additional tariffs imposed on countries that sell or provide oil to Cuba, both countries halted oil exports to the island. And while the Supreme Court Trump\u2019s tariffs, the president continued his naval blockade on Cuba, seizing manyvesselsthat have sought to ship goods to, or that have simplybeen linked to, the country.\u00a0<\/p>\n

According to a March report by the Atlantic<\/em>, the US attorney\u2019s office in South Florida is building further indictments against Cuba\u2019s military and government leadership, including Castro family members. The US cited a 2020 indictment against Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro to justify his capture in January. In the week prior to the report, Trump said he believed that he would have \u201cthe honor of taking Cuba.\u201d<\/p>\n

And earlier, at the end of his first term, Trump added Cuba to the federal list of state sponsors of terrorism, a policy that \u201cput the brakes on some private investment on the island,\u201d Will Freeman, a Latin America fellow at the nonpartisan Council on Foreign Relations told me in an April email. \u201cAnd [it] did no favors to tourism, which the Cuban regime had made the island\u2019s economic engine.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Biden administration largely carried on Trump\u2019s Cuba policy, further hindering Cuba\u2019s tourism in 2022 by barring foreign travelers from visa-free travel to the US if they visited Cuba after the Trump-initiated state sponsor of terrorism designation went into effect in January 2021.<\/p>\n

Claims of state terrorism, as M. Victoria Murillo, a professor of political science and international and public affairs at Columbia University, said to me last month, were the linchpin of US justifications for military assaults on Venezuela, and for the campaign of attacks on civilian vessels by US naval forces in the Pacific Ocean and Caribbean Sea.<\/p>\n

In January, Trump declared Cuba an \u201cextraordinary threat\u201d to national security on the basis of its alignment with countries like Russia, China, and Iran and his allegations, made without evidence, that Cuba \u201cwelcomes transnational terrorist groups\u201d like Hamas and Hezbollah. The executive order imposed additional US tariffs on goods from countries who supply oil to Cuba, which effectively eliminated all support for Cuba from Venezuela and Mexico.\u00a0<\/p>\n

These latest restrictions have been implemented amid a US embargo that has stopped US businesses from trading with Cuba since the 1960s. While former President Barack Obama eased many economic constraints on Cuba and allowed some travel, he ended the policy that gave Cubans arriving in the United States a guaranteed pathway to legal status. That,according to Murillo\u2014along with Trump and Biden\u2019s reimplementation of economic restrictions\u2014led to growing inequality between Cubans with access to foreign currency and those who rely wholly on state salaries, wages that in 2025 amounted to about $18 a month.<\/p>\n

The first group, who constitute an upper class, may have connections to private businesses, tourism, or remittances from relatives who live abroad.<\/p>\n

\u201cCuba is in a situation similar to when the Soviet Union fell,\u201d Murillo says. The US embargo, starting in the 1960s, led Cuba to depend on the Soviet Union, which supplied the island with oil at subsidized prices. Early oil shipments were delivered to US-owned refineries, but they refused to refine in part due to pressure from the US government.<\/p>\n

\u201cThat started the escalation of nationalization,\u201d Murillo says. \u201cThey had no energy, they had to bike places because they had no gas, [and] they lacked food.\u201d<\/p>\n

This time, Murillo says, it\u2019s even worse: \u201cCuba is now on its own.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Trump administration\u2019s<\/span> <\/strong>\u201cmaximum pressure\u201d campaign against Cuba to supposedly encourage popular rebellion against the island\u2019s government has not worked. \u201cSocial movement theory says that when people are really desperate, they cannot protest. That requires certain resources,\u201d Murillo says. \u201cIf you are spending all your time trying to get food, you don\u2019t even have the time to protest.\u201d Anti-government protests in Cuba are rare.<\/p>\n

The failure to rouse popular protest\u2014even against unpopular leaders\u2014is increasingly familiar to the Trump administration, which expected an Iranian public uprising to follow its war on that country. In the immediate wake of the Iranian government\u2019s violent crackdown on a series of protests that began in December, I had the opportunity to talk to historian Behrooz Ghamari, who explained the situation succinctly:<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cThe paradox is the US imposes crippling sanctions while also saying, \u2018I\u2019m going to liberate your people.\u2019 This rhetoric about helping people contributes to delegitimizing the Iranian people\u2019s legitimate protests. It gives the Iranian government the excuse to claim conspiracy and say that protesters are acting on behalf of foreign interests and can react severely and violently. If the US actually wanted to help, the only offer is to not intervene and allow these movements to unfold on their own terms.\u201d<\/p>

Read more There are 50,000 Words in the DNC Autopsy. \u201cGaza\u201d Isn\u2019t One.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

In 2021, President Miguel D\u00edaz-Canel called large-scale protests then taking place \u201ca plan orchestrated by the exterior,\u201d claiming that the US government was directing protesters.<\/p>\n

Why does Cuba think the US is directing opposition to its government? Historically, it has\u2014Cuba is a longstanding fixation of US foreign policy, dating to generations before Castro. In 1898, Murillo explained, after winning the Spanish-American War, the US began driving towards hegemony, taking Puerto Rico, Guam, and the Philippines from Spain and establishing a protectorate in Cuba. Cuba had no choice but to sign off on the Platt Amendment, which guaranteed the US sweeping powers\u2014including the right to intervene unilaterally in Cuba\u2019s politics, as Trump seeks to do again now\u2014in return for withdrawing its troops from the island at the end of the war.<\/p>\n

US domination remained the status quo for more than half a century. At the time of the Cuban revolution, in the late 1950s, American companies owned or controlled 90 percent of Cuba\u2019s electricity, as well as significant parts of its sugar, communications, and mining industries. In large part to take ownership of domestic industries, the Cuban revolution established a socialist political system\u2014one that the US wanted rid of by any means possible.<\/p>\n

The rush of exiles from that revolution, and the proximity between the two countries, helped facilitate the establishment of a powerful Cuban-American lobby, founded by Cuban elites who were exiled after the revolution\u2014which got us our current Secretary of State.<\/p>\n

Marco Rubio, the son of Cuban parents who fled to the US in the 1950s, announced in March that Cuba would \u201chave to get new people in charge.\u201d Rubio has becomeby far the most visible and influential face of theCuban-American exile movement, pushing the Trump administration to heap pressure on the country. (Rubio\u2019s family, ironically, fled the country under the US-aligned government of Fulgencio Batista\u2014the one Castro toppled. Rubio has repeatedly claimed otherwise.)<\/p>\n

\u201cThe reason you are forced to survive 22 hours a day without electricity is not due to an oil \u2018blockade\u2019 by the US,\u201d Rubio said in a Spanish-languagevideo message to the Cuban people Wednesday, but because Cuba\u2019s ruling officials \u201chave plundered billions of dollars\u201d from the nation.<\/p>\n

Although some Democratic US lawmakers have called for the end of the oil blockade, only one oil tanker has reached Cuba. \u201cWe have absolutely no fuel [oil] and absolutely no diesel,\u201d Cuba\u2019s energy minister, Vicente de la O Levy, said last week.<\/p>\n

In February, United Nations human rights chief Volker T\u00fcrk called for the lifting of US sanctions that impede oil deliveries to Cuba: \u201cPolicy goals cannot justify actions that in themselves violate human rights,\u201d Marta Hurtado, T\u00fcrk\u2019s spokesperson, said at the time.<\/p>\n

\u201cCubans should be able to exercise their rights freely, including their rights to political participation, and the Cuban government\u2019s policies of repression and censorship should stop,\u201d the Washington Office on Latin America, a US advocacy organization promoting human rights and social and economic justice in Latin America and the Caribbean, wrote in a statement last month. \u201cAt the same time, U.S. policy towards Cuba, focused on coercive measures such as the embargo and other sanctions, is outdated and has failed to produce U.S. policy goals, while causing severe harm.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cIt is the Cuban people, with the concerted support of the international community, who should determine their future and be a core part of any bilateral discussions,\u201d the statement continued.<\/p>\n

Since then, the Trump administration has increased sanctions on Cuba, and Wednesday\u2019s news of Castro\u2019s indictment is the strongest signal that the Trump administration is considering switching from mostly economic and diplomatic pressure to military assault. The US military has sent at least 25 intelligence-gathering flights since February and has begun to increase its number of ships in the area.<\/p>\n

In response, Cuba President Miguel D\u00edaz-Canel warned that US military strikes could lead to a \u201cbloodbath\u201d on Monday. A Sunday Axios report cited classified intelligence that Cuba had acquired more than 300 military drones and were discussing a possible attack on the US base at Guant\u00e1namo Bay.<\/p>\n

In his public rhetoric,Trump appears to be framing Cuba and Venezuela similarly. On Wednesday, he called the indictment of Castro a \u201cvery big moment\u201d for Cuban Americans but suggested that he didn\u2019t expect there to be an increase in hostilities between the two countries; Trump surprised and upset much of the Venezuelan opposition by taking such a tack with Venezuela, leaving its ruling party in power after the initial assault that abducted Maduro. \u201cLook, the place is falling apart,\u201d Trump told reporters that same day. \u201c[The Cuban government has] really lost control of Cuba.\u201d<\/p>\n

But Trump\u2019s remarks on Thursday may be more revealing. \u201cOther presidents have looked at [Cuba] for 50, 60 years, doing something,\u201d Trump said. \u201cAnd, it looks like I\u2019ll be the one that does it. So, I would be happy to do it.\u201d <\/p>\n

If Trump\u2014a teenager when Fidel Castro came to power\u2014sees overthrowing Cuba\u2019s leadership as part of the legacy he\u2019s increasingly concerned with, then a US escalation may well be in the cards.<\/p>

Read more Trump and Elon Musk Crushed USAID. Hunger and Violence Followed.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/article>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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